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Curis – The Hegdehog That Signals Growth

Courtesy of Pharmboy

Biotechnology investing is always a challenge, as many retailer investors buy in on the runs up, only to get hit by the failures of the trials.  Many investors hear of the millions made on investments like DNDN, CELG, and ITMN (until it cratered by the FDA denial), but betting on a company without understanding the science is a sin.  As a scientist, I do not advocate putting large sums into biotech picks, but putting some funds into companies that have a shot (and knowing when to invest) is what I try to do.  Not all will be winners, but if a few are sound in the scientific field, money can be made.  Take our last small biotech pick in the cancer arena, ImmunoGen (IMGN) – it is up from my August 29th writing from $5.75 (high of the day as we got in at a better price) to $7.44.  We used a buy write strategy selling the January $6 Calls and Puts, so as long as IMGN holds $6 through January 2011, one will pocket 33%.  Even selling a covered call would put one up 19%.  This is our objective at PSW, letting investments come to us by doing simple plays and resting easy at night.  I have been talking about Curis in member chat for awhile, and we bought and sold them in the beginning of the year.  I now think the time is right for double dipping and taking a chance on a cancer treatment that could make a splash early next year.

Curis (NASDQ:CRIS) is developing targeted small molecule drug candidates for cancer indications where there are substantial unmet therapeutic needs.  In 2000, Curis began operations in the merger of Creative BioMolecules, Ontogeny and Reprogenesis.

In the Company’s virtual portfolio, the Hedgehog pathway inhibitor program (in collaboration with Genentech/Roche) is its most advanced program with lead small molecule candidate,   GDC-0449.  GDC-0449 is currently being tested in a pivotal Phase II clinical trial in advanced basal cell carcinoma as well as several other trials in collaboration with Genetech and the National Cancer Institute.  More recently, in a Phase II clinical trial in advanced ovarian cancer (as a single agent maintenance therapy), the compound failed to excite Roche in its endpoints, and ‘preliminary findings from the primary analysis of the study warrant additional investigation to clarify and interpret potential clinical activity of the drug
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ImmunoGen – A Little Rock that Could be a Diamond

ImmunoGen (IMGN) shares were down on heavy volume Friday after a the FDA derailed a lead product, T-DM1, by issuing a decision to issue a "refuse to file" letter for proposed breast cancer treatment.  Whilst it creates a setback for the short term, it opens the door for PSW members to get in on a stock that has huge potential in the cancer arena for significant gains.

ImmunoGen (IMGN) develops targeted anticancer drugs using its proprietary tumor-activated prodrug (Taxane-Based Tumor-Activated Prodrug – aka TAP) technology.  What’s so special about the techology?   The mAb enables a TAP compound to bind specifically to cancer cells that express a particular target antigen and the cytotoxic agent serves to kill the cancer cell.  What are taxanes?  Taxanes are diterpenes produced by the plants of the genus Taxus  (yews).  Taxanes include paclitaxel (Taxol) and docetaxel (Taxotere).  The principal mechanism of the taxane class of drugs is the disruption of microtubule function. It does this by stabilizing GDP-bound tubulin in the microtubule. Microtubules are essential to cell division, and taxanes therefore stop this – a "frozen mitosis". Thus, taxanes are essentially mitotic inhibitors. In contrast to the taxanes, the vinca alkaloids (vincristine and vinblastine) destroy mitotic spindles. Both, taxanes and vinca alkaloids are therefore named spindle poisons or mitosis poisons, but they act in different ways.

Figure 1.  Depicts a cell going through mitosis (cell division).

IMGN out-licenses its TAP technology to other companies (Amgen, Biogen-Idec, Centicor, Genentech, Sanofi, and others) for use with their proprietary antibodies to specific targets.   The TAP technology addresses two critical components for companies pursuing monoclonal antibody (mAb) therapeutics: enhancing the yields from development programs by creating new products and/or providing product franchise life extension.  Go here to see the show.  ImmunoGen is currently studying several product candidates:

  •  First, trastuzumab-DM1, or T-DM1 for short, is for women with advanced HER2-positive breast cancer who have previously received multiple HER2-targeted medicines and chemotherapies, including Genentech’s Herceptin.  A mid-stage study of the drug showed that it shrank tumors in women with HER2-positive breast cancer, a form of the malignancy in which the protein, human epidermal growth factor receptor 2, promotes the growth of cancer cells. Now, the FDA reviewed Roche’s application for the drug, and the company is beginning several mid-stage and late-stage trials to test how the drug stacks up to combination therapies that pair other drugs and


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Phil's Favorites

Mind Blowing Economic Charts – First Time Claims, The Stock Market, and The Fed

Courtesy of Lee Adler of the Wall Street Examiner

Improvement in first time unemployment claims is slowing. Actual, not seasonally manipulated data, including an adjustment for the usual weekly upward revision, shows that the year to year rate of change is on the cusp of a possible upside breakout, which would be good news for stock market bears if it happens.

Initial Unemployment Claims Chart- Click to enlarge

Here’s why it’s mind blowing. I’ve plotted it below on an inverse scale with the S&P 500 overlaid.

Unemployemt Claims and Stock Prices - Click to enlarge

That speaks for itself. As the i...



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Option Review

Bulls Scoop Up Sprint Nextel Corp. Calls

 Today’s tickers: S, FTR, JTX & SBUX

...



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ETF Selector

US Markets Drop On Italy Fear (EWI, DIA, SPY, QQQ, IWM, TLT, GLD)

Courtesy of John Nyaradi.

Major US Markets including (NYSEARCA:DIA), (NYSEARCA:SPY), (NASDAQ:QQQ), and (NYSEARCA:IWM) dropped over 3% each on Italian bond fears and an increased worry that Europe will not be able to bail out its 4th largest economy. Furthermore, the iShares MCSI Italy Fund (NYSEARCA:EWI) wiped out over 9% today, further illustrating the dire situation in Italy and the European Union: ...

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Chart School

S&P 500 Snapshot: Down for the Day and the Week

Courtesy of Doug Short.

The S&P 500 broke its string of four-consecutive weekly gains with loss of 0.63% for the day and 2.48% for the week.

The index is back in the red year-to-date, down 0.35% and 8.09% below the interim high of April 29.

From an intermediate perspective, the index is 85.2% above the March 2009 closing low and 19.9% below the nominal all-time high of October 2007.

Below are two charts of the index, with and without the 50 and 200-day moving averages.

 


Click for a larger image ...

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Zero Hedge

Dallas Fed Latest Economic Contraction Confirmation; Survey Respondents' Gloom Soars

Courtesy of ZeroHedge. View original post here.

Submitted by Tyler Durden.

The second economic disappointment of the day comes from the Dallas Fed, which dropped from -2.0 to -11.4 on expectations of -9.0- this was the 4th consecutive negative print month. The report was, in a word, horrible, with just 2 of the 15 constituent indices posting an increase, and the bulk solidly in the red, led by Unfilled and New Orders which dropped 16.8 and 11.2, respectively: not good for economic growth. On the employment side there was nothing good either, with both employment and hours worked declining by -...



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Insider Scoop

Diana Containerships Files To Offer Stock Up To $172.5M -Bloomberg (DCIX)

Courtesy of Benzinga

Bloomberg reports that Diana Containerships (NASDAQ: DCIX) files to offer stock up to $172.5M. Diana Containerships says that Diana shipping will also buy $20M of stock.

Visit Benzinga >

...

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Sabrient

Sabrient Risers - 3/12/2011

Top 5 RisersStockRatingAnalysisVLOSTRONGBUYAn increasingly positive growth rate of past earnings, along with improving expectations for long term growth, make Valero a good prospect for high returns.KROSTRONGBUYKronos Worldwide has been gaining recognition from analysts as a good canditate for achieving higher than expected earnings along with higher overall projected valuation.SFIBUYiStar is one of the top candidates projected to achieve both higher than previously projected earnings in the short run and a higher earnings growth rate in the long run.AMATSTRONGBUYApplied Materials has been...

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OpTrader

Swing trading virtual portfolio - week of March 7th, 2011

This post is for live trades and daily comments. Please click on "comments" below to follow our live discussion. All of our current virtual trades are listed in the spreadsheet below, with entry price (1/2 in and All in), and exit prices (1/3 out, 2/3 out, and All out).

We also indicate our stop, which is most of the time the "5 day moving average". All trades, unless indicated, are front-month ATM options. 

Please feel free to participate in the discussion and ask any questions you might have about this virtual portfolio, by clicking on the "comments" link right below.

To learn more about the swing trading virtual portfolio (strategy, performance, FAQ, etc.), please click here

Optrader 

Swing trading virtual portfolio

 

One trade virtual portfolio

...

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Stock World Weekly

Stock World Weekly

NEW: Elliott and Ilene are available to chat with Members regarding topics presented in SWW, comments are found below each post.

Here's the newest Stock World Weekly:  Illusion Based on a Fantasy 

Comments welcome... share your thoughts.  

Download Newsletter 3/6/11


Stock World Weekly archives here >

...

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Pharmboy

Biotech Junkies Update and Momenta Pharma Moving Forward

February is now past, and the Biotech Porfolio is loaded with winners and a miss (PLX).  MRK is down a bit, but I expect that trade to recover, and one could be more agressive and double down on it, or play another round at the Jan13 $30 options for roughly the same price.  Below is the summary, and note the grey boxes are ones that did not fill.  I am still a fan of BMRN, and like DEPO as well.  Now let's look at a few others.

Table 1.  PSW Biotech Plays Since January 2011

 

Our newest play is Momenta Pharmaceuticals (MNTA), who is pursuing a three-part business model which includes complex generic equivalents in partnership with the Sandoz division of Novartis, proprietary compounds, and follow-on- biologics (FOB).  It seems that this company is tied up in competition/litigation wit...



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About Phil:

Philip R. Davis is a founder Phil's Stock World, a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders...

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About Ilene:

Ilene is editor and affiliate program coordinator for PSW. She manages the Favorites backup site (blogroll, archives, more). Contact Ilene to learn about our affiliate and content sharing programs.

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