The Oxen Group’s Longterm Ratings virtual Portfolio – February Recap
by David Ristau - March 2nd, 2011 11:13 am
At the end of December, The Oxen Group launched our Longterm Ratings virtual Portfolio that revolves around our Longterm Ratings and financial analysis of companies on five-year projections. In today’s update on our Longterm Ratings virtual Portfolio and Longterm Ratings, we will be covering our performance so far, our changes in guidance and price targets in February, our current holdings, and some attractive positions that we believe look good in March and 2011.
Performance
Since our Longterm Ratings virtual Portfolio’s inception at the end of December, in two months, we have increased the virtual portfolio 7%. At the end of February, we had recommended holdings in fifteen companies and had exited parts of five holdings and another full position. Our realized exits were half of our position in Big Lots (BIG) for nearly 26%, 1/3 of our position in Dean Foods (DF) at 17.19%, 1/3 of our position in First Solar (FSLR) a 24%, our full position in a Short Sale in Green Mountain Coffee Roasters (GMCR) at -32%, 2/3 of our position in SunPower (SPWRA) for nearly 21%, and 1/3 of our position in Trina Solar (TSL) for nearly 21%.
Holdings we recommended in February to our members:
- General Motors (GM) – We have a Price Target at $52 for the company and believe that GM is a great value right now. The company has a lot of undervaluation currently as they have a lot of sales potential moving forward and have not priced in many gains moving forward. We believe with only 3-4% growth in operating income moving forward the company has significant upside. Oil prices rising does hurt margins, but the company has moved into some important smaller markets. They have gotten very positive reviews on automobiles, and that appears to be translating into a rise in sales.
- Changyou (CYOU) – The company, a Chinese online internet video game producer, looks to have a lot of upside moving forward after its 2010 IPO. The company has the most popular online video game in China, and they are introducing a new line of games in 2011 that should continue to help the company grow its market share. Additionally, the company should benefit from the growing Chinese internet market that should quadruple in the next five years as internet comes to more areas in China. We have…

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